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Recipe D reject card
Most “I knew the catalyst” losses are not thesis failures. They are window failures — buying the first green candle after the headline with short-dated OTM calls while Discord is louder than your notes.
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BLOCKED if 3+ are true
1. Headline already outPR / FDA note / 8-K is public. You are not early.
2. Tape already extendedSpike in progress or done. First impulse owned by someone else.
3. Lottery geometryShort-dated OTM calls / “if it runs I 10x” strikes.
4. Lagging socialTimeline/Discord louder than your written fact object.
Name: Recipe D — late-chase lottery pattern.
Action: stand down. No average-down. No “just a small lotto.”
What to do instead
- Write the fact object — primary source, time, what is actually known
- Label the window — early / pre-event / pullback-continuation / late-chase
- If late-chase — pass, or wait for structure + invalidation (usually pass on stub capital)
- If still itchy — run the free late-chase checker
Why this card exists
Catalyst Desk is a fail-closed process pack for small accounts. The paid pack adds the full playbook, EV worksheet, printable gate stack, sample permission board, and daily loop. This card is free because the reject has to be usable under dopamine — not buried in a PDF you never open.
Educational only. Not financial advice. Not signals. Trading can lose 100% of risked capital. · Catalyst Desk